2017 Free Agency Over/Under

With the NFL’s legal tampering period opening up at 12:00PM eastern today, we’re about to see a frenzy of gentleman’s agreement style signings being worked out (I’m looking at you Frank Gore). While teams can’t officially ink their new players to deals until Thursday, we should get a good idea of where most of the top talent is going to be by the end of the week. We take a look at some of the more intriguing storylines of free agency.

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Pierre Garcon’s contract: $26M

I’m taking the over here. I don’t think Garcon is going to be one of the first guys signed but because of that, will benefit from an inflated receiver market once the big hype guys like Alshon Jeffrey and Desean Jackson get paid. How often do you have a receiver, or any player, quietly and steadily produce his way through a 5 year contract in some of his team’s most tumultuous years? Garcon cracks $30M on a 3 year deal with the talent needy, cap space loaded San Francisco 49ers.

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Terrelle Pryor’s yearly average: $15M

Under. In only his second season ever as a wideout, 27 year old Terrelle Pryor is supposedly set to join the ranks of some of the highest paid receivers in the league. His agent, Drew Rosenhaus, just got Antonio Brown $17M/year and reports are he thinks Pryor can get into the $15M/year range. Posting 1000+ yards on 70+ catches while catching balls thrown by some of the worst quarterbacks in the league is no small feat in what was essentially a rookie season for him. That being said, teams only have one year of film on him at the position so that should help teams talk Rosenhaus down from his ledge a bit. Look for the Eagles to sign him to a 5 year deal worth about $13.5M/year to bolster an anemic receiver corps with the help of the “Carson Wentz factor” drawing him there.

NFL: Preseason-Oakland Raiders at Minnesota Vikings

Adrian Peterson’s pay cut: $10M

Over. Peterson was set to make $14M from the Vikings in 2017, a number that made him a cap casualty a few weeks ago. Coming off of an injury shortened season where he played in 3 games and posted a measly 72 yards and having played in only 20 games in the past 3 seasons along with being on the wrong side of 30, Peterson is in for a bad day if he thinks he’s even going to sniff the upper tier of running back contracts. Peterson has made nearly $100M over his career and is at the point where he is looking to play for a contender in hopes of getting a Super Bowl ring before he retires. Karen Guregian of The Boston Herald recently reported that Peterson would “consider” giving the Patriots a discount for his services. Given his desire for a ring and New England’s fondness of discount veterans chasing rings, I could see Peterson signing with New England for between $2M and $3M per year.

 

As always, please feel free to comment and let us know your thoughts!

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